2007 predictions
January 3rd, 2007
All things considered, I did fairly well last year with five predictions. This year, I take it up a notch. Here’s my Top Ten, no particular order:
1. MySpace wins. Facebook loses. Yes, they’re both winning right now, but the big separation begins this year. I admit it. I was wrong just a few months ago, poo-poo’ing MySpace. The site is incredible in so many ways, but from a marketer’s standpoint, it has some major upside. And the fact they’re diving into the school market and professional networking arena only makes them scarier. More on this in the month’s to come, but I’m very bullish on MySpace for next year.
I like Facebook too. However, what seemed to make it cool - students only - is now gone. The “everyone” position they now covet is owned by MySpace. Additionally, the prospect of a sugar daddy coming in and saving Facebook are fleeting. By the way, would some job site partner with Facebook already!
2. We figure out what Jobster wants to be when it grows up. Remember watching Pulp Fiction for the first time and thinking, “Where the hell is this movie going?” and then being thankful when everything came together in the end? That’s Jobster. Company head Jason Goldberg wants to “blow up” the resume and the job board. He believes and understands his strategy. This year, we’ll all be glad we stuck around for the closing credits. Will the plan work? Who cares; it’s entertaining.
3. The rise of the wiki. The success of Wikipedia is no accident. And it’s bound to spur a myriad of niche wikis. Once a solution comes around that makes setting up one as easy and customizable as a blog, wikis should become commonplace on most destination sites, as well as their own properties. And yes, there will be wikis with jobs. Mavericks like College Recruiter are already dabbling.
4. Get a Second Life! One million and growing rapidly, Second Life is sure to make things interesting in every industry, including employment. I admit being absolutely lost in this virtual world for now, but certainly see its potential for the most savvy marketers among us.
5. Indeed: Steady as she goes. Growth and success remain a constant for Indeed in ‘07, more so than its competition, by staying true to its original mission and format. The downside: The company continues to put us all to sleep while doing it. Oh well, what do you expect from a site founded by a couple of dudes from a financial board. ZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZ
6. The Big Three go big ‘bulge.’ Fans of history might recall the final German offensive on the Western Front dubbed the Battle of the Bulge, basically one final strike at the Allies for victory, even in the face of defeat. Surprisingly, the Nazi offensive actually worked for a period of time. The current trend of partnering with print giants is sure to give Monster Worldwide and Yahoo! HotJobs a temporary boost in ‘07. Hey, how ’bout partnering with the papers for a job fair revival? But I think a greater divine intervention is needed. Maybe ‘08.
7. Verticals crack Google’s Top Ten for “jobs.” Estimates for the number of searches for the keyword “jobs” is around 15,000 daily. It goes without saying that getting on Google’s Page One for “jobs” is incredibly valuable, especially for sites that count on pay-per-click ad revenue. While no vertical job search engine currently resides in Google’s Top 100 for this keyword, I believe at least one will crack the Page One riddle in ‘07. (Plug-in hand-as-phone gesture and mouthing of “call me” here.)
8. Recruiting bloggers go prime time. 2005 was about the early adopters forming the blogosphere. 2006 was about everyone blogging. In 2007, the best of the best will begin to clearly establish themselves above the clutter and begin to break through to highly coveted employers, instead of just other bloggers. And surprise, surprise, money will be made. Blogging: It’s not just for losers anymore.
9. Google will show-up to a major HR conference. I dream of the day when Google has a presence at SHRM, or some other notable employment get-together to highlight the benefits of Base and PPC advertising. I dream about it for the obvious reasons that it’s good for business, it’s good for the employers, and it should scare the shit out of some sacred cows.
10. Hands off my content. Amidst growing success via traffic numbers and revenue, the number of actual jobs that sites like Indeed and SimplyHired have will stagnate or even decrease due to an increasing number of job boards shutting off the faucet, a la Craigslist. With success comes spam and the evil it wreaks on Web sites. As more black hats figure out how to leverage vertical job search engines for their own twisted benefit, more and more job sites and employers are going to ask, “Is it worth it?” I think a good number will Vote No on their content being spidered in ‘07.
Honorable mentions: The number of direct employers who understand and leverage search marketing continues to grow; Web 2.0 continues to emerge in the employment space, but meets less than impressive results; the head of a vertical search engine will resign or be fired.













January 3rd, 2007 at 7:45 am
Good predictions, Joel. Your comments on Indeed are spot-on. They may be boring, but they do just one thing and they do it exceedingly well.
That’s the secret to explosive growth, and it’s why MySpace dominated Facebook - simple is the new black. MySpace is simple to customize, and simple to share.
Doing one thing well is what makes blogs special - one scrolling section of news delivered several times a day. That’s how Recruiting.com built a name for itself in the presence of sites like ERE and Interbiznet. It’s also why Monster got so big so fast - it was the site to go to get a job.
My prediction is that simple will be the new black for recruitment marketing.
January 3rd, 2007 at 12:44 pm
I don’t know, I think Facebook has so much more potential for use professionally. To me Facebook is much simpler than MySpace, at least in userability and navigation. Who knows, could just be my personal preference.
January 3rd, 2007 at 5:12 pm
I want to know if the Browns are gonna draft Troy? What does your crystal ball say Blog-radamus?
January 3rd, 2007 at 5:18 pm
For your ongoing Troy Smith in Cleveland draft fix, please visit http://www.myspace.com/drafttroy, sure to heat up after OSU’s thumping of Florida, Jan. 8.
January 3rd, 2007 at 6:12 pm
Joel, great predictions and pretty much on the money.
Who the hell is Troy Smith? Does he know Wayne Rooney?
Look forward to the re-cap at the end of the year…….
January 9th, 2007 at 2:05 pm
Here is another great Jobs Wiki for your list!
myDCnet.com - This a Washington, DC Metro jobs wiki takes job categories to a new level by differentiating between types of employers. DC Political insiders and professionals alike frequently choose sides based on preferences that go beyond political preferences. You can choose left of center jobs, right of center jobs, middle of the road and non-partisan jobs, not to mention profit vs. non-profit ones too.
DC Metro employers are allowed to post their jobs for free! Visit today:
http://www.mydcnet.com
3. The rise of the wiki. The success of Wikipedia is no accident. And it’s bound to spur a myriad of niche wikis. Once a solution comes around that makes setting up one as easy and customizable as a blog, wikis should become commonplace on most destination sites, as well as their own properties. And yes, there will be wikis with jobs. Mavericks like College Recruiter are already dabbling.